05/17/13 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos: It’s no secret that the Republican Party has a serious problem with immigration.  But in this instance I’m talking about their problem with Latinos migrating out of their own party. Republicans are trading in the elephant for the donkey, or at the very least just [...]
Read More »

05/09/13 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos: New data from the November 2012 U.S. Census Current Population Survey (CPS) reveals a major shift in the U.S. voting population, with the number of White, non-Hispanic voters declining by more than 2 million from 2008 to 2012.  In contrast, the number of Latino, African American and [...]
Read More »

05/03/13 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos: Recent elections demonstrate that immigration is a mobilizing issue for Latino voters. We can be sure that Congressional action, or inaction, on the current comprehensive immigration reform (CIR) bill will factor in to Latino voting decisions in 2014 and beyond. Our recent polling finds a majority of Latino voters, 58%, cite [...]
Read More »

04/18/13 The first installment of the poll showed that 85% of respondents have a U.S. citizen family member, including 62% who have U.S. born children. Overall, 77% of respondents came to the U.S. for better economic opportunity, or to create a better life for their family, and 87% aspire to become citizens if a comprehensive immigration reform bill becomes law. More than two-thirds of respondents have lived in the U.S. for a decade or more (including 21% who have been here for at least twenty years).
Read More »

04/15/13 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions: Groundbreaking poll of Latino undocumented immigrants shows 85% have U.S. citizen family members; and 87% would plan to apply for citizenship if immigration reform passes A new poll of Latino undocumented immigrants finds they have deep roots in America, with strong family and social connections to U.S. citizens, painting a portrait of a [...]
Read More »

03/21/13 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions Recently there have been a series of high profile endorsements for comprehensive immigration reform from the Republican Party. Immediately after the November 2012 election Bobby Jindal made a plea for more civility and and less stupidity on the immigration issue. Before too long, it was the Gang of 8 in the U.S. Senate which included four [...]
Read More »

03/18/13 According to a new Republican National Committee (RNC) analysis of the Party’s shortcomings in recent elections, the GOP’s embrace of hardline anti-immigrant policies is at the heart of their problems with Latino voters.  And as a new Latino Decisions poll makes clear, if the GOP successfully changes its position on the issue, the Party has [...]
Read More »

03/06/13 Guest-posted at Latino Decisions. A new Latino Decisions poll finds that Latino voters are paying very close attention to the immigration debate in Congress and that a candidate’s stance on immigration policy will directly effect how many Latino votes they win or lose.  The new poll of 800 Latino registered voters nationwide was conducted in [...]
Read More »

03/05/13 The 2012 election was a game changer for immigration reform, and thanks to unprecedented Latino turnout and a recognition by both political parties of their growing political power, the prospects for enacting bipartisan immigration reform have never been stronger. On a press call and webinar today, Latino Decisions along with national immigration, Latino and labor [...]
Read More »

01/23/13 Immigration reform has become a win-win-win issue—smart politics for both Republicans and Democrats, and smart policy for the nation.  Gary Segura, a Principal at Latino Decisions, and Lynn Tramonte, Deputy Director of America’s Voice, gathered on a press call and webinar today to review new Latino Decisions analysis outlining what Republicans lost by following an anti-immigration strategy in the [...]
Read More »

12/10/12 The ramp-up to the upcoming immigration reform legislative battle has started and will continue to play out in public over the coming months.  As America’s Voice Education Fund’s Executive Director Frank Sharry told USA Today, the legislative “measures that pass are those are litigated in public, in a loud debate.”  However, despite the impending noise, [...]
Read More »

12/10/12 As politicians begin discussing immigration reform legislation for next year, one thing is crystal clear: citizenship is the solution. And according to a new national poll, a majority of the American people support it: A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground poll finds that 62 percent of those surveyed support an immigration reform proposal that would allow illegal or [...]
Read More »

12/05/12 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos: In the wake of the 2012 presidential election, the Latino vote in states like Colorado has been held up as a critical and influential factor.  Latino voters turned out in record high numbers and their 75% vote for President Obama nationally set a new high [...]
Read More »

12/05/12 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos:  A month seems like an appropriate time to reflect on the outcome of Colorado’s 2012 general election and the role of Latino voters in both the Presidential and state-level contests.  In many respects, the election reflected a continuation of the state politics apparent in 2008 [...]
Read More »

11/28/12 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos: The results of the 2012 election have awakened the Republican Party to their impending demographic disaster. Substantial growth in the size and power of the Latino vote—and an overwhelming tilt in that vote against their nominee—paints a bleak future for Republican electability. Coupled with startling [...]
Read More »

11/14/12 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos:  Gary Segura recently provided a discussion of how exit polls often misrepresent Latino voters (Badly!), pointing out that exit polls often rely on small samples of Latino likely voters, rarely utilize fully bilingual interviews, and utilize samples that are not reflective of the Hispanic/Latino population in [...]
Read More »

11/14/12 Over the past week, there’s been an avalanche of punditry and discussion about the new, post-election politics of immigration reform. Much of the focus has been on the Republican Party’s serious problems on the issue, caused by chronic catering to its anti-immigrant nativist wing, led by the likes of Rep. Steve King (R-IA), Rep. Lamar [...]
Read More »

11/13/12 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos: In his 1996 re-election President Bill Clinton attained 72 percent of the Latino vote, the highest level of Latino support of any presidential candidate—before this year. In 2012, President Obama set a new record, winning his second term in office with the support of 75 [...]
Read More »

11/12/12 Are House Republicans really about to install another anti-immigrant extremist as chairman of the House Judiciary Committee–now, when they clearly need to reconsider their standing on immigration and the Latino vote? For the past two years, the House Republicans’ immigration policy has been set by anti-immigrant hardliners like chair of the House Judiciary Committee Lamar Smith, [...]
Read More »

11/07/12 It is hard to overstate the influence of Latino voters in shaping the results of the 2012 elections.  They played a critical role in re-electing President Obama and in saving the Democratic majority in the Senate, again.  And immigration clearly was one if the main issues that produced unprecedented Latino turnout levels and historic levels of [...]
Read More »

11/06/12 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos:  impreMedia and Latino Decisions have now released polling data of Latino voters in 5 eastern states with influential Latino voting populations: Florida, Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina and Massachusetts.  Full results for these states can be found under Recent Polls here: www.latinodecisions.com/recent-polls/ and further detail can be found [...]
Read More »

11/06/12 The media-sponsored exit polling has a good reputation for many things, but a terrible reputation when it comes to capturing Latino voting behavior.  This is precisely why ImpreMedia, a leading Spanish language media company, is sponsoring Election Eve polling of Latino voters – nationwide and in 11 key states. Tonight’s first example of how this [...]
Read More »

11/06/12 ImpreMedia, one of the nation’s premier Spanish-language media companies, has teamed with Latino Decisions to conduct an extensive Election Eve poll of Latino voters.  Latino Decisions has completed 5,600 interviews with Latinos who have already voted or were certain to vote – nationally and in the following states: AZ, CA, CO, FL, MA, NC, NM, [...]
Read More »

11/06/12 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos:  The ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll of 5,600 Latino voters has indicated that the Economy/Jobs and Immigration were the most important issues to Latino voters in 2012. As indicated in the figure below, 53% of Latino voters nationally who were surveyed  during the final days of the [...]
Read More »

11/06/12 Today, ImpreMedia/Latino Decisions is releasing its 2012 Latino Election Eve Poll at a new site: www.LatinoVote2012.com. The site is now live. The poll was conducted of Latino voters nationwide and in 11 states: AZ, CA, CO, FL, MA, NV, NM, NC, OH, TX and VA. Results will be released throughout the day on this website [...]
Read More »

11/05/12 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos:  Final LD Vote and Turnout Predict Projections: Record-breaking Turnout and Lopsided Support for Obama among Latinos Over the final several weeks of polling (Figure 1), the LD Vote Predict estimates for presidential vote choice have been quite stable, leading us to our final projection for a breakdown among actual [...]
Read More »

11/05/12 Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos:  impreMedia & Latino Decisions today released the last in a series of 11 weekly tracking polls with results suggesting President Obama is poised to win a record high share of the Latino vote, and in turn likely to win key swing states and enough electoral [...]
Read More »