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Polling Roundup: Polling This Week

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GLOBAL STRATEGY GROUP/BASEWOOD RESEARCH (May 6)

  • 71% of voters support an immigration reform package that resembles the Senate plan… 71% of voters support a package including a path to citizenship, increased border security, increased worker immigration and employer verification requirement.
  • …including 74% of “conservative Republicans” and 67% of swing voters.
  • 4 times as many voters are MORE likely to vote for a CIR supporter than LESS likely. 42% of voters said they’d be more likely to vote for a candidate who supported this package, while only 12% said they’d be less likely.
  • 64% of voters support a path to citizenship outside of the context of a comprehensive reform package. This includes 55% of swing voters.

IMPREMEDIA/LATINO DECISIONS (May 3)

  • If some Republicans block immigration reform—even if other Republicans support it–41% of Latino voters will have a more negative view of the GOP. An additional 39% of voters said their view of the GOP would remain the same. Only 19% of Latino voters would have a more positive view of the GOP if some Republicans managed to thwart their colleagues to defeat the bill.

NEW YORK TIMES/CBS NEWS (May 2)

  • 83% of Americans support a path to citizenship for immigrants who meet certain requirements. 83% of respondents supported a path for immigrants who pay back taxes, pass a background check and learn English.
  • A majority of Americans believe undocumented immigrants should be allowed to obtain legal status while the border is being strengthened. 56% believe they should be legalized as the border is strengthened, while 35% believe they should wait until the border is secure.

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY (May 2)

  • A majority of Americans believe that undocumented immigrants should stay and be allowed to apply for citizenship. Asked what should be done with undocumented immigrants currently in the country, 52% of Americans said they should be allowed to stay and apply for citizenship (including 51% of independents). 30% believed they should all be required to leave, and 11% believed they should be allowed to stay but given second-class legal status.

LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS (May 1)

  • 66% of African-American voters support an immigration reform plan that resembles the Senate bill. 66% support a proposal that includes a roadmap to citizenship as well as a plan to manage future immigrant-worker flows. 70% support the path to citizenship without the plan for future workers.