America's Voice Blog

Posted 10/17/08 at 07:31pm

For Protestant Latino Voters, Immigration is Key

A recent poll entitled, "National Survey of Latino Protestants: Immigration and the 2008 Election," charts the latest attitudes of Latino Evangelical registered voters, a significant part of the Latino electorate in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, and Florida. The poll is sponsored by the National Hispanic Christian Leadership Conference, in partnership with the Jesse Miranda Center for Hispanic Leadership, Faith in Public Life, and Gaston Espinosa, Ph.D., Claremont McKenna College. It sheds light on what's driving Latino voters in these battleground states, and shows just how large a role immigration is playing in determining Latino Evangelicals' political affiliation.

Despite its conspicuous absence during last night's presidential debates, immigration remains one of the most significant issues mobilizing and energizing the growing Latino and immigrant vote, and new evidence is showing that, for Latino Evangelicals, the issue ranks on par with abortion and higher than gay marriage.

Evangelicals are one of the fastest growing segments of the Latino community. In 2004, they represented about one-third of the Hispanic electorate (up from one-quarter in 2000), and 63 percent voted for Bush-the first time on record that a Republican presidential candidate won the Latino evangelical vote. In fact, according to the Pew Hispanic Center, the group accounted almost entirely for Bush's increased share of the overall Hispanic vote, which grew from about 35 percent in 2000 to roughly 40 percent in 2004. 

According to the poll:

82.8 percent [of Latino Evangelicals] say a candidate's position on immigration is important in determining their vote this year (54.6 percent say very important).

This survey finds that Latino Protestants have shifted their support to the Democratic presidential candidate by a wide margin in 2008 and immigration is a key factor in influencing their vote. However, Latino Protestants are as likely to associate negative rhetoric on immigration with both parties as they are with only Republicans - indicating that Democrats have not distinguished themselves as champions for immigration reform.

Last week America's Voice also released a new report entitled, "The Power of the Immigrant and Latino Vote in the 2008 Election."  The analysis highlighted the crucial impact Latino voters are likely to have on the 2008 Presidential election and key House and Senate races. It shows that Latino and immigrant electorate is growing, is highly mobilized, and is strongly influenced by the immigration debate.

It's clear both campaigns get how important these voters are, and how important immigration remains as an issue. If it wasn't, the candidates wouldn't be spending precious campaign dollars on Spanish-language television ads in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, and Florida right now to battle it out about who supported comprehensive immigration reform the most.

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